Ukraine Presses Offensive in Kursk, Claims Major Russian Losses; Moscow Announces Capture of Key Eastern Town
The Ukrainian military has launched a renewed offensive in the Kursk region of Russia, claiming significant Russian casualties and aiming to strengthen its negotiating position in potential future peace talks. The U.S.-based Institute for the Study of War reported that Ukrainian forces have advanced along at least three axes within Kursk, marking a resurgence of activity in an area where Ukraine has held territory since a surprise incursion last August. While the full scope of the offensive remains uncertain, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken acknowledged the strategic importance of Kursk in any upcoming negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow. He emphasized that Ukraine’s foothold in the region is a critical factor that will undoubtedly influence the trajectory of any peace discussions.
Ukrainian officials and Russian military bloggers have reported fierce clashes in the region, with both sides vying for territorial gains. The head of Ukraine’s presidential office, Andriy Yermak, touted “good news” from Kursk, suggesting successful Ukrainian operations. Russian pro-war Telegram channels, known for closely monitoring frontline developments, described the Ukrainian assault as involving armored vehicles, mine-clearing equipment, and electronic warfare systems utilized to counter Russian drones. Videos circulating online purportedly show Ukrainian military convoys traversing snow-covered terrain in Kursk, although these remain unverified. The Russian Defense Ministry, however, has claimed to have repulsed a Ukrainian attack near the border village of Berdin.
The ongoing fighting in Kursk has seen the involvement of North Korean soldiers bolstering Russian forces, although their presence hasn’t led to the complete expulsion of Ukrainian troops. Ukraine maintains control over the district center of Sudzha and approximately 500 square kilometers of Russian territory. Reports indicate that the current Ukrainian offensive is directed from Sudzha towards Bolshoye Soldatskoye, a village situated roughly 70 kilometers from the regional capital, Kursk city. Previous reports of North Korean troop involvement followed Ukraine’s initial cross-border offensive, which drew condemnation from Russian President Vladimir Putin.
The Ukrainian General Staff announced substantial Russian losses, claiming that over 1,550 Russian soldiers were killed in a 24-hour period, without providing further details. President Volodymyr Zelenskiy asserted even higher figures, alleging total Russian losses of 38,000 in five months of fighting in Kursk, with approximately 15,000 of those classified as "irrecoverable." Zelenskiy highlighted the deployment of Russia’s most formidable units to Kursk, including North Korean soldiers, arguing that Ukraine’s operations in the region have prevented their redeployment to other active fronts in Donetsk, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhya.
While the fighting intensifies in Kursk, Russia declared the capture of Kurakhove, a Ukrainian town strategically located about 30 kilometers south of Pokrovsk, a vital logistical hub that has been a prime target for Russian forces. The seizure of Pokrovsk would represent a significant victory for Moscow, although the city has suffered extensive damage during months of fighting, and most of its pre-war population has fled. The evolving situation on the ground adds complexity to the backdrop of potential cease-fire negotiations.
Incoming U.S. President Donald Trump, who has vowed to prioritize ending the war in Ukraine, is slated to take office on January 20. Keith Kellogg, Trump’s designated envoy for Ukraine and Russia, is tasked with leading these negotiations and has suggested that talks could commence soon after Trump’s inauguration. Although initial reports indicated a possible imminent visit to Ukraine by Kellogg, Reuters has reported that the trip has been postponed until after the inauguration. Kellogg is reportedly also arranging meetings with European leaders in Rome and Paris. Secretary Blinken, while refraining from commenting on specific Ukrainian operations in Kursk, stressed the importance of "adequate security assurances" for Kyiv in any future negotiations with Putin, cautioning that a ceasefire would not necessarily signify the end of Putin’s ambitions in the region. He emphasized the need for strong deterrents to prevent future Russian aggression after any potential cessation of hostilities.
