The Disinformation War: A Postmortem on a Failed Experiment
The term “disinformation,” with its Bolshevik roots in 1920s Russia, gained prominence in the American lexicon following the 2016 presidential election. Hillary Clinton’s unexpected defeat fueled accusations of Russian interference, and the narrative of a disinformation campaign swaying public opinion quickly took hold. This marked the beginning of a concerted effort to combat disinformation, initially focused on foreign interference but quickly expanding to encompass domestic political discourse. The war on disinformation, initially championed by the progressive left, evolved into a powerful tool for silencing opposing viewpoints and ultimately undermined the very principles of truth and free speech it purported to defend.
The inherent nature of disinformation, as a concept, lends itself to political weaponization. The study of disinformation necessitates an adversarial approach, demanding researchers to identify and combat enemies. This inherent bias makes objective analysis impossible, transforming researchers into political operatives tasked with either deploying or defending against disinformation. The inherent danger lies in the blurring of lines between countering falsehoods and manufacturing narratives to serve political agendas. This inherent characteristic of the disinformation concept ultimately led to its perversion and misuse in the American political landscape.
The initial focus on foreign interference provided a veneer of legitimacy to the disinformation war. However, this focus quickly shifted to domestic political opponents, labeling them as extremists and purveyors of disinformation. Tech companies, fearing regulatory backlash, outsourced censorship to third-party “fact-checking” organizations and disinformation researchers. These organizations, often with lucrative contracts and prestigious affiliations, became the arbiters of truth, wielding immense power to silence dissenting voices. This power, coupled with the evolving definition of disinformation to encompass even true but inconvenient information (malinformation), paved the way for widespread censorship and the suppression of legitimate debate.
The concept of disinformation, once narrowly defined, expanded to include misinformation (unknowingly false information) and misleading information (information leading to incorrect conclusions). Most alarmingly, it evolved to encompass “malinformation”—factually accurate information deemed harmful if shared publicly. This broadening of scope allowed for the suppression of information like vaccine side effects, demonstrating a shift from promoting truth to achieving specific social goals. This shift, articulated by figures like former Wikimedia CEO Katherine Maher, prioritized “common ground” and “getting things done” over a “reverence for the truth.” This marked a turning point, where the pursuit of truth was subordinated to political expediency.
The disinformation war, mirroring its Soviet origins, required the identification of enemies. In the American context, these enemies were not foreign adversaries but fellow citizens holding opposing political views. Accusations of “shadow debanking” and the suppression of the Hunter Biden laptop story illustrate how the fight against disinformation became a tool for silencing political opponents. This tactic, akin to imposing sanctions on foreign regimes, created a climate of division and distrust, ironically mirroring the very effects attributed to disinformation itself. The very act of combating disinformation became a source of societal discord, further eroding public trust.
The events of January 6, 2021, provided a catalyst for escalating the disinformation war. The deplatforming of President Trump and tens of thousands of his supporters, coupled with the revelation of sophisticated social media monitoring systems, demonstrated the extent of censorship efforts. This widespread suppression of dissenting voices, impacting a vast population of users, fueled a backlash and created a perception of systemic silencing of conservative viewpoints. This perceived censorship, experienced personally by millions, likely contributed to Trump’s resurgence in 2024, demonstrating the unintended consequences of the disinformation war.
The campaign against disinformation did not limit itself to silencing opposing voices; it also involved the production of sanctioned disinformation. The Hunter Biden laptop story serves as a prime example, with a coordinated effort by media outlets, disinformation experts, and even former intelligence officials to discredit a legitimate news story. The subsequent downplaying of President Biden’s cognitive decline further illustrates this phenomenon. These instances demonstrate how the very actors claiming to combat disinformation engaged in its propagation, further blurring the lines between truth and falsehood.
The war on disinformation ultimately failed on multiple fronts. It eroded public trust in institutions, fueled political polarization, and backfired on its proponents. Efforts to combat COVID-19 “disinformation” diminished trust in health officials and the government, leading to lower vaccination rates. Similarly, the suppression of conservative viewpoints on gender issues only intensified opposition to transgender activism. The very efforts to combat disinformation ultimately undermined their own credibility and contributed to the very outcomes they sought to prevent.
The disinformation industry, facing widespread criticism and declining effectiveness, may attempt to rebrand itself under the guise of “trust studies” or “truth studies.” However, the very concept of “disinformation” remains inherently problematic, as it inevitably draws researchers into political battles and power struggles. The brief but tumultuous history of the disinformation war offers a clear lesson: attempts to curate “wrong speech” often produce outcomes more detrimental to democracy than the perceived threats they aim to address.
The challenges of online hate speech, extremism, and digital speech abuse persist, demanding solutions that do not compromise democratic principles. Several trends warrant close observation: the potential dismantling of the fact-checking and disinformation industry, the increasing attempts to suppress digital speech, the emergence of societal immune responses like news avoidance and engagement avoidance, and the ongoing digital balkanization of online spaces. These trends will shape the future of online discourse and require careful consideration to navigate the complex interplay of free speech and responsible online behavior.
Finally, in the absence of comprehensive solutions, media literacy emerges as a crucial tool for navigating the digital landscape. Increased awareness of online manipulation tactics and the low credibility of much online information empowers individuals to critically evaluate information and resist manipulation. Media literacy programs, focusing on individual and social immunity, offer the best defense against fake news, hate speech, and online polarization. Ultimately, empowering individuals with critical thinking skills remains the most effective approach to fostering a healthy and democratic online environment.