Germany Braces for Election Interference: Resurgence of Russian Disinformation Campaign Targets Voters
Berlin – With Germany’s federal election looming on February 23rd, a shadow of disinformation hangs over the democratic process. The specter of foreign interference, specifically from Russia, has resurfaced, threatening to manipulate public opinion and sway the outcome of the vote. Experts warn of a sophisticated campaign employing deceptive tactics, leveraging social media platforms, and exploiting existing political divisions to sow discord and bolster the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party. The resurgence of this campaign, identified as the "Doppelgänger" operation, raises serious concerns about the integrity of the election and the vulnerability of democratic institutions to malicious foreign influence.
The Doppelgänger campaign, first detected in 2022 during the initial stages of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, has evolved from disseminating false narratives about the war to targeting European elections. Its modus operandi involves cloning legitimate news websites, creating "doppelgänger" sites with similar URLs and design, and filling them with fabricated articles. These counterfeit articles are then amplified through networks of bot-like accounts on social media platforms, primarily X (formerly Twitter), creating an illusion of genuine news coverage and lending credibility to the disinformation. This tactic exploits the trust placed in established media outlets, making it difficult for the average citizen to distinguish between real and fabricated news.
The German non-profit organization CeMAS, specializing in monitoring and analyzing disinformation campaigns, has uncovered alarming evidence of Doppelgänger’s resurgence in the lead-up to the German election. CeMAS identified hundreds of posts on X spreading misleading claims about the election, exhibiting the hallmarks of the Doppelgänger campaign. These posts frequently linked to counterfeit websites mimicking prominent German media outlets, such as Der Spiegel and Welt, further blurring the lines between legitimate journalism and fabricated propaganda.
The content disseminated through these channels follows a distinct pattern: negative portrayals of the Green party, blaming them for Germany’s economic challenges; criticism of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU); and consistent positive coverage of the far-right AfD party, currently polling in second place behind the CDU. This targeted messaging aims to erode public trust in established parties while boosting the AfD’s standing, a strategy consistent with Russia’s broader goal of destabilizing Western democracies and amplifying extremist voices.
The discovery of this disinformation campaign has raised questions about the efficacy of platform moderation and the responsibility of social media companies to combat the spread of malicious content. While X has suspended many of the accounts involved in disseminating the disinformation, concerns remain about the speed and comprehensiveness of their response. Experts argue that social media platforms need to implement more robust measures to identify and remove such campaigns, preventing them from gaining traction and influencing public opinion.
Despite sanctions and investigations targeting the individuals and organizations behind Doppelgänger, the campaign continues to adapt and find new avenues for operation. Recent investigations have revealed that European IT companies were unwittingly providing services to the campaign, highlighting the challenges of completely dismantling these complex networks. The ability of the campaign to circumvent sanctions and leverage legitimate services underscores the need for ongoing vigilance, stricter regulations, and international cooperation to counter the evolving threat of foreign disinformation. The implications of this interference extend beyond the German election, raising concerns about the vulnerability of democracies worldwide to sophisticated disinformation campaigns.
