Disinformation Resilience in Central and Eastern Europe: Navigating an Evolving Threat Landscape
The digital age has ushered in an era of unprecedented information access, but alongside its benefits, a shadow lurks: the proliferation of disinformation. This insidious phenomenon, defined as the deliberate spread of false or misleading information, poses a significant threat to democratic processes, societal cohesion, and international stability. Central and Eastern Europe, a region grappling with complex geopolitical dynamics and historical legacies, finds itself on the frontlines of this information war. The 2024 Disinformation Resilience Index (DRI) provides a crucial lens through which to examine the evolving landscape of disinformation resilience across ten nations in this volatile region.
The DRI study, a comprehensive analysis of disinformation resilience, focuses on four Visegrad countries – Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia – and six Eastern Partnership states – Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine. These countries, diverse in their political systems, media landscapes, and societal contexts, share a common vulnerability to disinformation campaigns, often originating from external actors seeking to sow discord and undermine democratic institutions. The 2024 report builds upon a previous iteration conducted in 2021, offering a valuable longitudinal perspective on the evolving threats and responses to disinformation in the region. Notably, the 2024 study captures the seismic impact of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, a watershed moment that has dramatically reshaped the information landscape and intensified disinformation campaigns.
The DRI employs a multi-faceted approach to assess disinformation resilience, combining quantitative data from expert surveys with qualitative analysis of national contexts. Each country chapter delves into the specific challenges and opportunities faced by these nations, examining the effects of the Ukraine conflict, shifts in the media landscape, changes in legal and institutional frameworks, and the crucial responses of media outlets and civil society organizations. This granular approach allows for a nuanced understanding of how different countries are grappling with the disinformation threat and adapting their strategies to enhance resilience. The index itself is derived from online expert surveys, gathering insights from at least ten experts per country, providing a robust basis for comparison and analysis. Furthermore, methodological refinements implemented since the 2021 study enhance the accuracy and comparability of the findings.
The impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine resonates throughout the report, highlighting how this conflict has served as a catalyst for both disinformation campaigns and efforts to counter them. The war has amplified existing narratives and generated new ones, often exploiting pre-existing societal divisions and historical grievances. The surge in disinformation surrounding the conflict underscores the need for enhanced media literacy, critical thinking skills, and robust fact-checking mechanisms. The responses of governments, media organizations, and civil society groups have been critical in mitigating the impact of disinformation, demonstrating the importance of a multi-stakeholder approach.
The media landscape in the studied countries has undergone significant transformations, influenced by both technological advancements and the evolving geopolitical context. The rise of social media platforms has created new avenues for the dissemination of information, but also presents challenges in verifying the authenticity and credibility of content. Traditional media outlets continue to play a vital role in informing the public, but are facing increased pressure from both economic constraints and political interference. The DRI report examines these evolving dynamics, highlighting the importance of a diverse and independent media ecosystem as a cornerstone of disinformation resilience.
Legal and institutional frameworks play a crucial role in shaping the fight against disinformation. Countries across the region have adopted various approaches to address the issue, ranging from legislative measures aimed at curbing the spread of false information to the establishment of specialized institutions tasked with monitoring and countering disinformation campaigns. The report analyzes the effectiveness of these measures, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach that protects freedom of expression while also safeguarding against the harmful effects of disinformation. The role of civil society organizations is also highlighted, as these groups often play a critical role in fact-checking, media literacy initiatives, and advocating for greater transparency and accountability.
The DRI report is not merely a diagnostic tool; it also serves as a roadmap for action. Each country chapter concludes with a set of tailored recommendations aimed at strengthening disinformation resilience. These recommendations address a range of areas, including media literacy education, fact-checking initiatives, regulatory frameworks, and the fostering of cross-sector collaboration. The report emphasizes the need for a holistic approach that engages governments, media organizations, civil society groups, and technology companies in a collective effort to combat the disinformation threat. The DRI provides a valuable resource for policymakers, researchers, journalists, and civil society activists working to build more resilient societies in the face of this evolving challenge. The report, co-financed by the Visegrad Fund, reflects a commitment to regional cooperation in addressing shared security concerns. By sharing best practices and fostering collaboration, the countries of Central and Eastern Europe can enhance their collective resilience and navigate the complex information landscape of the 21st century.
